Fantasy Football Mark Ingram: 2018 Player Profile

Fantasy Football Mark Ingram

As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper.  Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players.  We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.  If you think suspension only makes a player stronger, then this fantasy football Mark Ingram player profile is for you.

With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years.  I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore.  I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span.  We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best running back value lies.

Fantasy Football Mark Ingram

Current ADP (As of 9/3/2018):

Standard: Number 22 among running backs.  Number 51 overall.

PPR: Number 22 among running backs.  Number 51 overall.

 

Stats:

FANTASY FOOTBALL MARK INGRAM SCORING — STANDARD

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 6 214.6 7 14.3
2016 11 177.0 15 11.8
2015 12 153.4 7 12.8

FANTASY FOOTBALL MARK INGRAM SCORING — PPR

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 6 278.0 8 17.4
2016 9 217.0 16 14.5
2015 8 203.4 6 17.0

FANTASY FOOTBALL MARK INGRAM USAGE

Carries Carries Per Game Targets Targets Per Game
2017 230 14.4 71 4.4
2016 205 12.8 58 3.6
2015 166 13.8 60 5.0

Overview: Mark Ingram messed up.  He failed a drug test and is going to miss the first four games for violating the NFL’s performance-enhancing drug policy.  And nothing is suffering more than his ADP.  Hasn’t his value suffered enough?  The man was an RB1 the last three years in all formats.  The goods news for you is that his suffering will bring you joy.  Let’s play a little game.  Do you know what happens if you take Mark Ingram’s 2017 fantasy numbers and multiply it by 75%?  He still remains an RB1.  If you do the same for 2016 and 2015, Ingram falls to an RB2.   And you can get Mark Ingram in the late-fourth/early-fifth rounds.  That sounds like one of the best value plays of 2018.  Ingram is also in a contract year, meaning that he is playing for his next paycheck.

Strategy: I love Alvin Kamara, but Mark Ingram’s value is undeniable at his current ADP.  Getting a guy who has consistently been an RB1 the last three years in the fifth round is a deal I will take every time!  I don’t think Ingram will win his starting job back from Kamara.  They’ve invested too much in Kamara for him to not get every chance to start.  However, I also think it is possible the Saints decide since they are losing him next year, to get as many miles on that car before they sell it.  I just know that Ingram, at his current ADP, is perhaps the best running back value in fantasy football for 2018.

Ceiling: I think Ingram could end the year as a low-end RB1 for total points on the season, but be a high-end RB1 on a points per game basis.  He will win people their leagues this year.

Floor:  What will actually happen is while Mark Ingram is suspended, he will fail another drug test and that will be the beginning of the end for him.  Months later, we will get a GQ article talking about his issues with addiction.

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